Ford’s first quarter results were met with a positive market response, as revenue and non-GAAP profit meaningfully exceeded Wall Street expectations despite a year-over-year decline in sales. Management attributed this outperformance to strong cost controls, robust pricing on new vehicle launches, and effective mitigation of tariff headwinds. CEO Jim Farley cited progress in warranty savings and streamlined material costs as key contributors, stating that “warranty spikes during launch are now at industry leading levels,” with recent product launches like the Expedition and Navigator supporting higher average transaction prices and faster dealer turnover.
Is now the time to buy F? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Ford (F) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $40.66 billion vs analyst estimates of $38.49 billion (5% year-on-year decline, 5.6% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.14 vs analyst estimates of $0.02 (significant beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $2.40 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.53 billion (5.9% margin, 57.3% beat)
- Operating Margin: 0.8%, down from 2.9% in the same quarter last year
- Sales Volumes fell 7.1% year on year (-0.9% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $47.04 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Ford’s Q1 Earnings Call
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Emmanuel Rosner (Wolfe Research) asked for details on the composition of the $2.5 billion tariff headwind and the effectiveness of offsets. CFO Sherry House broke down the estimate as roughly half parts and half imported vehicles, with offsets stemming from cost actions and pricing flexibility.
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Dan Levy (Barclays) inquired about volume expectations and inventory strategy amid tariff changes. CEO Jim Farley stressed Ford’s ability to be opportunistic due to healthy inventory and emphasized a measured approach to pricing.
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Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) questioned whether supply-chain disruptions were emerging due to tariffs. COO Kumar Galhotra noted that while no major issues had materialized, rare earth imports and shifting policies could quickly lead to bottlenecks.
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Joseph Spak (UBS) asked what milestones would enable Ford to reinstate guidance. House responded that clarity on policy details, customer price sensitivity, and competitor actions would determine the timing, with an update expected next quarter.
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James Picariello (BNP Paribas) requested insight into Model e’s performance and ongoing Mach-E production plans. House shared that Model e saw 40% improvement in profitability versus last year, with stable production planned for Mach-E amid strong demand.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In future quarters, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) the evolution of tariff policy and Ford’s ability to offset related costs, (2) signs of demand elasticity and price realization as new pricing strategies are implemented, and (3) the pace of software and service revenue growth within Ford Pro. Updates on emissions regulations and supply-chain resilience will also be important indicators of Ford’s ability to execute on its strategic priorities.
Ford currently trades at $11.83, up from $10.19 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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